Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.226713 0.261707 0.300103 0.345333 0.397128 0.454567 0.523073
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.171753 0.217202 0.271540 0.341184 0.427979 0.532487 0.667798
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.132845 0.182711 0.247207 0.336493 0.456643 0.612472 0.829673
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.105249 0.156533 0.227893 0.333974 0.487172 0.699840 1.016888
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.085478 0.136751 0.213110 0.334367 0.521260 0.797402 1.235183
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.071972 0.123236 0.204547 0.341794 0.566394 0.917774 1.507019
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.059541 0.108712 0.191479 0.339428 0.595507 1.018062 1.764630
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.051412 0.099659 0.185481 0.347261 0.642149 1.153177 2.100315
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.043092 0.088467 0.173557 0.342297 0.665373 1.251842 2.389071
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.037592 0.081443 0.167841 0.347463 0.707461 1.389658 2.768960
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.031580 0.072100 0.155862 0.338166 0.720035 1.474270 3.061695
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.028444 0.068173 0.154021 0.348921 0.774079 1.646277 3.550601
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025793 0.064867 0.153086 0.361888 0.835923 1.845268 4.129687
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022525 0.059431 0.146462 0.361132 0.868089 1.987856 4.613360
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019647 0.054316 0.139611 0.358593 0.895854 2.125311 5.107844
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017283 0.049993 0.133832 0.357551 0.926956 2.274981 5.653526
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015383 0.046485 0.129415 0.359086 0.964596 2.445464 6.274402
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014045 0.044252 0.127882 0.367818 1.021876 2.671435 7.063912
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012452 0.040908 0.122706 0.365801 1.050862 2.832175 7.715855
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011442 0.039105 0.121492 0.374585 1.110420 3.079267 8.626335
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010112 0.035975 0.115820 0.369486 1.130611 3.226732 9.296874
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009256 0.034208 0.113899 0.375215 1.182897 3.468286 10.259115
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008100 0.031129 0.107297 0.365311 1.187391 3.578831 10.874064